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Posts Tagged ‘interest rates’

When interest rates rise, will they skyrocket?

Historical data suggests that when interest rates rise, they may go nuts!

interest ratesSome interesting topics today. Interest rates will inevitably rise. When they do,will it be gradual or will they go completely nuts? We will review some interesting data that suggests bad news on that one.  We will also review a story that points out that we were right about millennials all along- and they were wrong! Finally, as we suggested on this show – automation is coming on line much faster than the experts were projecting – and it could completely change our markets.

Todays Links:

  • http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-11-07/bank-england-700-years-data-suggests-reversal-rates-will-be-rapid
  • http://realtytimes.com/consumeradvice/buyersadvice/item/1006742-20171108-proof-that-we-jumped-to-conclusions-about-millennials-and-home-buying

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Interest rates are NOT why less mortages are happening

Why does the media insist on blaming interest rates when mortgage origination drops?

interest ratesOnce again we see a dip in the number of mortgage originations but most media outlets want to blame that on higher interest rates. Today, we will review why that is total nonsense. We will also talk about another time honored number that is no longer valid today – and it has HUGE effects on the buying and selling cycle in the market. Also, we find that once again home prices are higher – but there is no real surprise there.

Finally, I got it wrong. I made a prediction for October 2017. Now that October is behind us, it is clear that I was 100% wrong. We will chat a bit about that as well.

Todays Links:

  • http://realtormag.realtor.org/daily-news/2017/10/31/report-average-owner-stays-put-for-10-years
  • http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2017/10/case-shiller-national-house-price-index.html
  • https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/01/weekly-mortgage-applications-fall-as-rates-move-even-higher.html
  • http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-11-01/its-official-october-was-calmest-stock-market-month-ever
  • http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mortgage_rates/

HELP THE SHOW GROW by filling out the audience demographic survey by clicking the button at the top of the page titled “Take the survey to support the show“. Follow the prompts and this will automatically enter you for a chance to win a $50 Amazon Gift card!

Interested in getting free content, advanced notice of upcoming events and real estate exclusives? Then simply join the Rebel Underground by texting the word ‘rebelbroker’ to 44222 – or click the button below. When prompted, text your email address and you are in!

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Audible.com – Audible is offering real estate realities listeners a free audiobook of your choice and a free 30-day trial membership. Just go to http://audibletrial.com/rebel and choose from over 180,000 audio programs – download a title free and start listening!

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Good News In The Employment Numbers!

It has been a long time since the employment numbers looked this good

unemployment numbersFor years now we have been talking about the employment numbers. Plenty of games have been played over the years with how they are calculated. Plus, we have been finding that the kind of jobs being created are not what we would hope for. Well, the most recent employment numbers are actually telling an encouraging story – and I could not be happier to be able to finally share a happy opinion when it comes to employment! After all, if you want a healthy real estate market, one of the things you need to start with is a good employment market.

We will also talk about the odds of the Fed doing a rate hike in March.  Not all the news is entirely good. We have some numbers on the average size of debt being taken on and some other lending trends that are also likely to make things worse before they make it better.

Please help the show by filling out the audience demographic survey by clicking the button at the top of the page titled “Take the survey to support the show”. Follow the prompts and this will automatically enter you for a chance to win a $50 Amazon Gift card!

Interested in getting free content, advanced notice of upcoming events and real estate content? Then simply join the Rebel Underground by texting the word ‘rebelbroker’ to 44222. When prompted, text your email address and you are in!

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The Fed WILL Raise Rates!

 

No doubt in my mind that the Fed will raise rates in December 2016!

raise rates
That’s right folks, I am as sure as I can be that the Fed is going to raise rates this December. So lets take some time to talk about the effects and talk through some possible scenarios that might come our way when the Fed raises rates.

Please help the show by filling out the audience demographic survey by clicking the button at the top of the page titled “Take the survey to support the show”. Follow the prompts and this will automatically enter you for a chance to win a $50 Amazon Gift card!

Interested in getting free content, advanced notice of upcoming events and content? Then simply join the Rebel Underground by texting the word ‘rebelbroker’ to 44222. When prompted, text your email address and you are in!

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Horrible Jobs Numbers

PLUS: No rate hike from the FED

Todays show will be about setting a stage. We are going to look at the labor numbers and a few other statistics and sprinkle it around like intellectual candy corn. Why? Because we want to figure out the level of risk that is hovering over the horizon. How far out can we anticipate the direction our employment landscape is going. This will mean looking at more accurate unemployment numbers and also looking at the change in what kinds of jobs are out there. Plus, how will technology play a part in the future employment world? We will take a broad look at all of that and see if we feel better or worse about our prospects. Bring tissues.

This weeks poll!

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